New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s 2003 prison smoking ban
produced a pervasive black market, where single cigarettes cost inmates $30,
and a pack runs as high as $200, according to the New York Daily News (here).
That might sound shocking, but I predicted those unintended
consequences nine years ago in a column for the Las Vegas Review-Journal, after the California State Assembly imposed a state-wide prison tobacco
ban.
February 5, 2004
California, Cigarettes and Prisons: Ban Smoking, Not Tobacco
Brad Rodu
Special to the Las Vegas Review Journal
On January 26 the California
Assembly passed a bill that would ban all tobacco products in state prisons
(Assembly Bill No. 384). According to
sponsor Tim Leslie (R-Tahoe
City), the bill “is a
win, win, win for California.” But the ban may be a loser for everyone else
concerned, including prisoners, staff and the prison system.
According to Leslie, about 80,000 California prisoners
smoke. At 1½ packs per day and $3 a
pack, prison sales of cigarettes in California is worth $131 million.
One hundred million dollar markets
just don’t disappear with the stroke of a legislative pen. They transform, and often in ways that don’t
please prison officials.
First, the California prison system will lose the
revenue generated by sales of legal tobacco products. But over-the-counter revenue lost is
under-the-table revenue gained, as smuggling takes over and entrepreneurs
compete for the lucrative tobacco market.
In Colorado prisons, where tobacco prohibition was instituted four years
ago, an $11 can of Bugler loose tobacco generates $5,000 in hand-rolled
cigarettes—a 45,000% markup. In other words,
the Colorado
ban spawned an instant black market serviced by prisoners and their families,
guards, teachers and supervisors.
Officials have conducted 154 investigations – at considerable additional
cost -- and made dozens of arrests. All
because Colorado officials chose in effect to ban nicotine, the consumption of
which is absolutely legal everywhere in the US except behind bars.
Absolutely legal. And almost absolutely safe. Nicotine is among the most powerful of
addictive substances, but it is not the reason that smokers die. In fact, nicotine itself is about as safe as
caffeine, another widely consumed addictive drug. It is the other 3,000 agents in tobacco smoke
that are responsible for the diseases that kill smokers. Smokers who switch permanently to other,
safer forms of nicotine, including smokeless tobacco products, live longer and
healthier lives and don’t pollute the air around them.
There is a very simple alternative
to a complete ban on tobacco and nicotine: corrections officials should offer
smokers alternatives in the form of smokeless tobacco. Smokeless tobacco satisfies smokers and
serves as an effective permanent substitute, because it rapidly delivers a dose
of nicotine comparable to that from smoking.
For comparison, nicotine medications provide only about one-third to
one-half the peak nicotine levels of tobacco products, which is unsatisfying
for many smokers. In addition, medicinal
nicotine is expensive and designed to be used only temporarily. All of these reasons are why nicotine
replacement has a paltry 7% success rate among American smokers.
Smokeless
tobacco use is vastly safer than smoking, which is entirely consistent with the
stated health goal of Leslie’s bill. Our
research documents that smokeless use imposes only about 2% of the risk of
smoking. The only consequential adverse
health effect from long-term smokeless tobacco use is oral cancer, but even
this risk is much lower than that associated with smoking. In fact, the average reduction in life
expectancy from life-long smokeless tobacco use is only 15 days, while the average smoker loses almost 8 years. For further context,
the risk of death from long-term use of smokeless tobacco (12 deaths in every
100,000 users per year) is about the same as that from automobile use (15
deaths in every 100,000 users per year).
Newer smokeless tobacco products
deliver the nicotine kick smokers crave and they can be used almost
invisibly. Spitting, once the stigma of
smokeless tobacco use, is nonexistent with these products. New products are neatly packaged as wafers or
small pellets of tobacco. Some modern
products are the size of breath mints and completely dissolve during use,
leaving no tobacco residue.
Data from Sweden show that smokeless tobacco
can easily substitute for smoking. For
50 years men in Sweden
consistently have had the lowest smoking rate and the highest smokeless tobacco
rate in Europe. The result:
Rates of lung cancer – the sentinel disease of smoking – among Swedish
men have been the lowest in Europe for 50
years. World Health organization
statistics reveal that Swedish men have the lowest rates of lung cancer among
20 European countries. In the US smokeless
tobacco is already working for many Americans. Statistics from the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) show that 1.5 to 2 million former smokers
have chosen this option on their own.
In summary, when prison systems
provide smokeless tobacco as a substitute to inmates who smoke, they accomplish
several goals. First, they promote the
health of smokers by offering a cigarette substitute that is 98% safer for
users (because smokers who switch to smokeless tobacco reduce their risk for all smoking-related illnesses,
including mouth cancer). Second they
ensure the health of nonsmoking inmates and staff (because passive smoke is
eliminated). Third, they restore the
prison tobacco market to its rightful balance, in which revenue from tobacco
sales is removed from the black market and returned to the correctional
facility. In other words, corrections
officials can meet both health and fiscal goals by providing an environment
that is smoke-free, not necessarily nicotine and tobacco-free.
Unfortunately local, state and federal officials have blindly
embraced tobacco prohibition. Mayor
Bloomberg’s policies have made New York City a tobacco prison, with cigarette
prices, at $12-15 a pack, the highest in the nation. Now he wants to prohibit cigarette sales to
anyone under 21 years of age (here), which will force more of today’s legal consumers to the black market.
Half of the cigarettes sold in New York State are illegal, shifting
a quarter billion dollars of government revenue to criminals (updated link here).
Prohibitionists love to claim the moral high ground, but
they are bootleggers’ best friends.
4 comments:
It seems as if the war on tobacco, like the war on drugs, benefits certain favoured industries; but even when those vary, the black market is always the biggest winner. It is hard to work out how legislators think that making a law will stop people getting what they feel they have a right to - all it does is put prices up and remove income from the state.
What you say is true Chris, but the only place the price actually goes up is in a restricted environment like a prison. Everywhere else it is lower prices that drive the black market.
There are large areas of Canada where a high percentage of cigarettes consumed are black market and the price is far lower then legit outlets. I have also heard (though I can't confirm it, and I doubt anyone can) that youth smoking is up in areas because of cheap black market cigarettes. Of course now there is a push by some for a crack down on illegal smokes which uses more resources. The whole mess ends up being a lose lose for the government and public health.
What is going on in New York with civil rights? I mean soda regulations, smoking police, food police. What is next? Please don't export the nanny state stuff to the west coast NY.
I totally agree. Unintended consequences with prohibitions and over-regulation are causing havoc at jails, prisons, and municipalities across Henderson, Nevada, and the US in general.
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